In-Depth Ukrainian News, Analysis and Commentary
Ukrainian History, Culture, Arts, Business, Religion, Economics,
Sports, Government, and Politics, in Ukraine and Around the World
By Mykola Siruk, The Day Weekly Digest in English #37
Interviewed by Alina Popkova and Mykola Siruk,
The Day Weekly Digest in English, #36, Tuesday, 8 December 2009
By Volodymyr Vasylenko, Professor, Doctor of Law, International law expert,
The Day Weekly Digest in English #37, Kyiv, Ukraine, Tues, 15 Dec 2009
Those longing for strong-armed rule may outnumber those
CER Bulletin, Issue 69, Center for European Reform, Dec 2009/Jan 2010
11. ORANGE FOREVER!
Analysis & Commentary: By Bishop Paul Peter Jesep
Ukrainian Autocephalous Orthodox Church Kyiv-Patriarchate
U.S. Spokesperson for His Beatitude Metropolitan Myfodii of Kyiv and All Ukraine
13. UKRAINE FRONT-RUNNER QUESTIONS DEMOCRATIC REFORMS
Presidential frontrunner says Ukraine paid too high a price on democratic reform
By Simon Shuster and Dima Vlasov, Associated Press Writers
Associated Press (AP), Kiev, Ukraine, Tue, December 29, 2009
14. SAME FACES, NO ISSUES, AS UKRAINIANS PREPARE TO VOTE
Analysis & Commentary: By John Marone,
Eurasian Home, Moscow, Russia, Friday, December 18, 2009
15. TWO INTRIGUES OF UKRAINE'S PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN
Analysis & Commentary: Dmitry Vydrin, Professor of Political Science, Kyiv
16. DANUBE AND DNIEPER RIVERS FLOW DIFFERENTLY AFTER SOVIETS
By Arthur Max, Associated Press (AP), Dniprodzerzhynsk, Ukraine, Mon, Dec 14, 2009
17. UKRAINE: 'THE DAY I KILLED THE SOVIET UNION'
Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Prague, Czech Republic, Tue, Dec 1, 2009
18. SHABBY SURROUNDINGS AND TREATMENT OF ANIMALS AT A ZOO IN UKRAINE
Kiev Journal, by Clifford J. Levy, The New York Times, NY, NY, 23 Dec 2009
19. FOUR UKRAINE CITIES GET EURO 2012 SOCCER CHAMPIONSHIP GREEN LIGHT
Reuters, Funchal Portugal, Fri, December 11, 2009
20. START 2010 OFF RIGHT: DONATE TO "FOR SURVIVAL"
Help an elderly Ukrainian in Kyiv have clothing, food, medicine this year.
Katie Fox, President, American Friends of "For Survival", Wash, D.C., Mon, Jan 4, 2010
1. U.S. AMBASSADOR TEFFT ON U.S.-UKRAINE RELATIONS
It is a great honor for me to take up my new duties as the United States Ambassador to Ukraine. This is an important time for Ukraine and for our bilateral relationship. A strong relationship with a sovereign and independent Ukraine has been a major priority for the United States since the collapse of the Soviet Union. It remains so today.
During his visit to Washington, Foreign Minister Poroshenko launched with Secretary Clinton the new US-Ukraine Strategic Partnership Commission. This Commission, created during the visit of Vice President Biden last July, focused on a wide range of issues from foreign policy to energy, non-proliferation, democracy, rule of law and people-to-people exchanges. We will continue to work through this Commission to build our strategic partnership.
I arrive in Ukraine as President Obama's envoy with 38 years of experience in the U.S. State Department. I have had the honor of serving as U.S. Ambassador in Georgia and Ambassador to Lithuania before that, as well as spending almost a year as acting Chief of Mission in Moscow.
Ukraine over the past century has withstood war, division, revolution and tragedy. Indeed, just recently the people of this country memorialized the millions of its citizens – men, women and children – who died during the Holodomor.
In the sphere of international relations, Ukrainian peacekeepers have served with distinction in recent years in a number of dangerous assignments, including the Former Republic of Yugoslavia and Sierra Leone. As you might be aware, President Obama has just outlined a strategy for our efforts in Afghanistan.
On the home front, Ukraine can count many blessings, including its rich agricultural tradition, an abundance of natural resources, and a well-educated population. With our friends in the EU, we are eager to help Ukraine develop to its maximum economic potentials.
The U.S. Government has provided over $90 million in our various assistance programs this year, focusing on improving health, promoting economic growth, bolstering peace and stability, and promoting good governance and the rule of law.
The United States will closely monitor the upcoming Presidential election in Ukraine. As Secretary Clinton said on December 9th, "It is for the Ukrainian people to decide who their elected leaders should be. We will work with whomever the Ukrainian people elect in a fair and free election." More broadly, the United States will continue to support the further development of effective governance, the free exchange of information and a vibrant civil society.
2. U.S. SECRETARY OF STATE CLINTON AND UKRAINIAN FOREIGN MINISTER
WASHINGTON, D.C. - SECRETARY CLINTON: Good afternoon, everyone. I'm delighted to welcome Minister Poroshenko here for in-depth conversations. It's an opportunity for me to reaffirm the very broad partnership between our two nations. Earlier today, we had the first meeting of the U.S.-Ukraine Strategic Partnership Commission, and we look forward to continuing to work on these many important matters.
Before I turn to the issues that the minister and I discussed and the shared objectives the United States and Ukraine are working toward, I'd like to say a few words about Honduras. President-elect Lobo has been meeting this week with President Arias of Costa Rica, President Martinelli of Panama, and has been in touch with other leaders throughout the hemisphere to advance regional cooperation with respect to Honduras.
But let me now turn to the subject of the day, Ukraine. As I said, the minister and I reaffirmed our broad partnership. The United States is committed to supporting Ukraine as it continues on the path to democracy and prosperity. We applaud the growth of a free press and a vibrant political culture in Ukraine.
And the United States appreciates Ukraine's contributions to the important mission in Afghanistan. And I wish to commend the foreign minister for the work that he is doing to work with Moldova to demarcate the border.
So let me thank the foreign minister for his visit and for the friendship between our two countries. I look forward to continuing our work together in the future.
FOREIGN MINISTER POROSHENKO: Thank you very much, Madame Secretary. Ladies and gentlemen, I'd like to thank Secretary Clinton for her warm hospitality, and we had a very productive negotiation. I greatly appreciate your message that U.S. will stand Ukraine and its continue on the path of freedom, democracy, and prosperity.
In the meantime, while appreciating that United States has recently reconfirmed the security assurance provided to Ukraine, and it should be – it is already reconfirmed on our meeting. It is crucially important for Ukraine – and we discussed this question on our today meeting – the return of IMF mission and the – to reestablish the work of mission of IMF to Ukraine if it would be possible this year in Ukraine to undertake the certain steps to demonstrate the openness and the effectiveness in cooperation with IMF.
And it is a great honor and I want to reconfirm the invitation to the Secretary Clinton to visit Ukraine on early possible time taking into account the busy schedule, and we think that our current level of cooperation is very high, very acceptable. And I want to thank you very much for – Madame Secretary, to you for that.
QUESTION: Hi, Madame Secretary. Just a – there's news today about five individuals arrested in Pakistan. I'm curious whether you can – we know some of them are American – if you can tell us what you know about the case, what you've heard from the Pakistanis, and whether this is the result of any information given by the United States.
For the minister, I'm wondering if you could tell us if missile defense came up during your conversation today and whether Ukraine is willing to play any role. Thank you.
QUESTION: Thank you. A question to both of you. Next month in Ukraine, there are going to be very important presidential elections. And have you discussed this issue in your meeting? And is – are there any steps that the United States can take to assure free and open elections next month?
And from my point of view, even the fact that nobody knows – this is the first presidential election in the Ukraine where nobody knows who will be the next president. This is also the symbol of democracy. (Laughter.) And from my point of view, I think that the Ukraine successfully pass these exams for democracy, for the members of this civilized society. And we feel the support from all of our partners, including the United States. And we want to thank the United States for that.
SECRETARY CLINTON: Thank you. Thank you all very much.
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3. FOREIGN MINISTER POROSHENKO'S DEBUT IN WASHINGTON
By Mykola Siruk, The Day Weekly Digest in English #37
It seems that both the first meeting of the Ukrainian Foreign Minister Petro Poroshenko and the U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in Washington and the inaugural session of the USA-Ukraine Strategic Partnership Commission have met the expectations of the parties.
At the moment, the question of resuming collaboration with the International Monetary Fund is equally important for Ukraine. Poroshenko informed the U.S. Secretary of State about the measures undertaken by the Ukrainian side to fulfill its obligations within the framework of the cooperation program.
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[return to index] [Action Ukraine Report (AUR) Monitoring Service]
4. BUDAPEST MEMORANDUM MAY BECOME THE FIRST STEP FOR NEW FOREIGN POLICY
Interview with Oleksandr Chaly, Former First Deputy Foreign Minster
Interviewed by Alina POPKOVA and Mykola SIRUK,
The Day Weekly Digest in English, #36, Tuesday, 8 December 2009
December 5 marked 15 years since the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances was signed following Ukraine's accession to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. Ukrainian politicians and experts have recently held debates on the significance of this document. Some call it a "meaningless paper," while others point out its efficiency.
What has Ukraine acquired by signing the Budapest Memorandum? Can this document help eliminate the security vacuum in which Ukraine has found itself, clutched between two military-political blocs.
A HISTORICAL DAY FOR UKRAINE
"December 5, 1995 was a historical day for Ukraine. After the Budapest Memorandum was signed by the RF and US presidents and UK prime minister, it was also joined by France and the Republic of China. Thus Ukraine received special assurances of its security from all of the five regular members of the UN Security Council. It was an unprecedented case in contemporary international life and international law.
"In my opinion, after signing the Budapest Memorandum, the Ukrainian foreign policy faced two strategic alternatives. The first choice was to make the Memorandum the basis for our foreign policy and security strategy in order to position Ukraine as a non-aligned state, which would be neutral in military and security questions. This strategy was quite possible and, I think, most acceptable for Ukraine. It fully conformed to the key regulations of Declaration of Ukraine's State Sovereignty and Act of Declaration of Independence.
"However, the Ukrainian political elite at the time gave preference to the other strategic alternative — the approach of bloc allegiance. The fundamentals of Ukraine's international security started to take shape not on the basis of the Budapest Memorandum, but on the policy of NATO accession."
"THE REAL POWER OF THE MEMORANDUM"
We hear now various opinions concerning the Budapest Memorandum. It is being called a "paper tiger," "meaningless paper," or a "straw." Many support the idea of revising this document. Can you say what this memorandum has actually given Ukraine?
[1] "First, in the 21st century such a state as Ukraine, which is a regional European country, can ensure its security exclusively through well-balanced and
"The Budapest Memorandum is precisely the kind of international legal document that determined Ukraine's geopolitical status as a non-aligned,
[2] "Second, this memorandum is called a 'paper tiger' by those who don't want to view it as the key element of Ukraine's future foreign policy strategy
[3] "Third, looking at the real effect the Budapest Memorandum had, in the key moments, when our country faced real threats to its territorial integrity, this
"In 1993, he obtained a special decision from the UN Security Council concerning certain territorial claims on Sevastopol. However, the consultations with the UN Security Council proved that neither the Security Council, nor other UN structures were very keen to demonstrate activeness concerning situation in Tuzla. Appeals to our strategic partners in Brussels and Washington also met a restrained reaction.
"As a result, despite different political statements made by Ukraine, Russia continued to build the dam. Then I persuaded them to use the mechanism of consultations stipulated by the Budapest memorandum to defend Ukraine's territorial integrity. Correspondingly, Ukraine appealed to the US and Russia through diplomatic channels with a request to hold consultations concerning the situation on Tuzla Island. These actions on the part of Ukraine made it possible to solve the situation after informal consultations in Moscow with Russian and US diplomats. The Budapest Memorandum worked efficiently."
[THE DAY] In your words, the memorandum appears to be an efficient tool, but almost nobody in Ukraine shares your opinion.
"I did not either in the past when I regarded that Ukraine had only one strategy to ensure its national security — joining NATO. In this situation the Budapest Memorandum was unnecessary and even harmful.
"Can one speak in a serious way about the efficiency of the Budapest Memorandum, if Ukraine has never formally used its mechanisms in the 15 years of its existence? All this while Ukrainian diplomats have been seeking other instruments with which to defend the national security rather than the regulations of this memorandum. Therefore, we have hardly any right to criticize it or doubt its efficiency.
"In particular, during the first gas war in 2006, President Viktor Yushchenko of Ukraine commissioned Ukraine's Foreign Ministry to send letters of request to the world's guarantor-countries, asking to hold emergent consultations within the framework of the Budapest Memorandum. These letters were signed by the president, but unfortunately, they were never sent."
[THE DAY] Why not?
"The reason was that the politicians who were carrying out foreign policy at the time understood that they could not send those letters and ask for assurances under the Budapest Memorandum while stating that Ukraine was going to enter NATO. Therefore, they dragged their feet until the last moment. Then, on Jan. 3, 2006, this question became irrelevant.
SECURITY VACUUM AND A NEW FORMULA FOR UKRAINE
[THE DAY] You must have seen that the MPs proposed to adopt the declaration "Non-nuclear status should have real guaranties." Once you also told in an interview to The Day that we need legally binding assurances.
"This question exists. Any document is like a flower. If nobody waters it or cares about it, it will fade, The same thing is with the Budapest Memorandum.
"First, Ukraine has not practically used it in 15 years. Moreover, it had a direct intention not to use it. Second, the circumstances have absolutely changed. After NATO expanded eastwards, and Collective Security Treaty Organization — westwards, Ukraine remains virtually the only big regional European country which is not a member of any of these regional security systems.
"Ukraine has been seeking to become a NATO member for 15 years. However, NATO's leading countries took into account Russia's stance and came to a conclusion that Ukraine's entry into NATO poses more questions in the context of the new pan-European security system than it provides answers.
"This is a long-term tendency, as it was caused by new foundational geopolitical balances of the modern global world.
"Under these circumstances Ukraine, as never before, feels the security vacuum and strategic indefiniteness of its geopolitical status.
"This situation is the result of the NATO-RF relations, which gives grounds to Ukraine's new president to initiate an international conference of the guarantor-countries in 2010-11 in Ukraine with the aim to work out a new security formula for Ukraine, which would meet today's challenges, according to Article 6 of the Budapest Memorandum.
"Naturally, this would mean, above all, confirmation and reinforcement of the already existing security assurances as established by the Budapest Memorandum."
[THE DAY] What is being done in this direction?
"I know that Ukrainian diplomats are working on this issue today. In particular, we have signed in 2008 the Charter on Strategic Partnership with the US in which our overseas strategic partner confirmed its obligations under the Budapest Memorandum.
"On the occasion of the 15th anniversary of the Budapest Memorandum, Ukraine has exchanged letters on the highest level with guarantor-countries concerning this question. Here I would draw your attention to the statement made by the RF Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov in Kharkiv on Oct. 7, 2009:
'Now we are trying to formulate these assurances so that nobody felt that they are weakened. We are ready to confirm them to the fullest, and hopefully the American side will agree with this, too.'
"Similar assurances were voiced by US Vice President Joe Biden during his visit to Kyiv in July 2009, US Assistant Secretary of Defense Alexander Vershbow in his speech in Ukraine's Diplomatic Academy in late September 2009, and current U.S. Ambassador John Tefft in his speech before the US Senate's Committee on Foreign Affairs in early October 2009.
"However, the status of this memorandum should be confirmed not by our foreign partners, but by us. We need to make it the foundation for Ukraine's new foreign policy. I am sure that there are no political, international, or economic foundations that would prevent Ukraine from doing this after the presidential elections. My contacts with my colleagues and diplomats, scholars and politicians in Washington, Berlin, London, and Moscow show that everybody is ready for this. But everyone is waiting for the decision Ukraine will make and the official stance Kyiv will take."
AUSTRIAN PRECEDENT AND WITHDRAWAL OF RUSSIA'S BLACK SEA FLEET FROM UKRAINE
"The Budapest Memorandum alone is not sufficient by far, even with reinforced security assurances. Ukraine needs to adopt a new foreign policy that would rest on the foundations of the Declaration on Ukraine's State Sovereignty and regulations of the Budapest Memorandum.
"Seeking a universal formula for Ukraine's security in the 21st century, Ukraine may be interested in borrowing from Austria's experience. After the Second World War, this country experienced a considerable lack of security. The Soviet army was stationed on its territory.
"Ukraine in now in a somewhat similar situation. Russia's Black Sea Fleet is stationed on our country's territory. If we want to reinforce the legal character of the assurances provided by the Budapest Memorandum, Ukraine should assume far greater legal obligations concerning its non-aligned and neutral stance.
"In other words, it should remove from its agenda the question of NATO membership. This will enable Ukraine to raise before guarantor-countries the question of withdrawal of Russia's Black See Fleet from the territory of Ukraine, as a neutral country, by 2017. That is, we should apply the Austrian formula."
[THE DAY] Is Russia ready to support this formula and withdraw its Black Sea Fleet from Ukraine?
"My informal contacts with Russian diplomats and scholars indicate that Russia is basically ready to accept this formula. A proof of this is a statement Lavrov made in Kharkiv. If Ukraine takes on clear-cut obligations to keep to its position as a non-aligned and neutral state in its practical foreign policy, I am sure that it will be possible to apply the Austrian formula.
"However, as far as I know, the question of withdrawal of Russia's Black Sea Fleet from Ukraine in this context has not been discussed with Russia on the official level."
LINK: http://www.day.kiev.ua/288814/
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5. BUDAPEST MEMORANDUM: ON ASSURANCES WITHOUT GUARANTEES IN A "SHELVED DOCUMENT"
By Volodymyr Vasylenko, Professor, Doctor of Law, International law expert,
The Day Weekly Digest in English #37, Kyiv, Ukraine, Tues, 15 Dec 2009
The previous issue of The Day published on December 8, 2009, an interview with Oleksandr Chaly, "Document from the 'shelf'," devoted to the 15th anniversary of signing the Budapest Memorandum. This subject has caused quite a stir and needs to be discussed in depth.
As it follows from the Memorandum and the above-mentioned unilateral acts, the five nuclear states, permanent members of the UN Security Council, did not make any special commitments with respect to Ukraine – they only reaffirmed their commitment, in accordance with the principles of the UN Charter and the CSCE Final Act, to respect the independence, sovereignty and the existing borders of Ukraine, to refrain from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of Ukraine, as well as from economic coercion designed to subordinate to their own interest the exercise by Ukraine of the rights inherent in its sovereignty and thus to secure advantages of any kind.
The only specific obligation that the three nuclear states – the US, Russia, and the UK – took was that they "will consult in the event a situation arises which raises a question concerning these commitments." This means that the aforesaid nuclear states must take part in these consultations at Ukraine's demand.
Therefore, the form and content of the Memorandum and the above-mentioned unilateral acts show that, unfortunately, the Budapest talks on giving Ukraine security guarantees did not eventually result in a comprehensive international agreement that creates an adequate special international mechanism to protect our national security. Tellingly, the authentic English-language copies of the Memorandum use the term "security assurances" which is far weaker than "security guarantees." The unilateral declaration of France also speaks about "security assurances" (assurances de securite) rather than security guarantees.
Yet the achieved agreement was significant for both Ukraine and the entire international community. This helped solve a major problem that caused serious tension in the relations between Ukraine and the leading geopolitical players, not in the least Russia, and created the danger of a global nuclear catastrophe. Ukraine no longer feels strong international pressure which, if continued, might have posed a threat of international isolation or even sanctions against this country.
In his lengthy interview, Mr. Chaly says categorically that this course is erroneous and that the Budapest Memorandum should form "the basis of our foreign-policy strategy of security" and be "a key element of Ukraine's future foreign-policy strategy." Instead, Ukrainian diplomacy has opted for an "approach of bloc allegiance," locked this document in the "bottom drawer" and began to build Ukraine's international principles of security "on the basis of the policy of accession to NATO" rather than on the Memorandum's provisions.
Apparently, Mr. Chaly envies the laurels of those who say, in an attempt to deceive our citizens, that the Ukrainian Constitution has a provision on Ukraine's neutral status. I once promised to present a truckload of whisky to the one who will find this provision in the Constitution. With due respect for Mr. Chaly's persona, I am ready to present him with two truckloads of whisky if he manages to find at least an indirect reference to Ukraine's neutral status in the text of the Budapest Memorandum.
By its very nature and content, the Budapest Memorandum cannot lay the groundwork for this country's foreign-policy course because it is designed to be applied in exceptional, critical, situations only. This is why this document was "shelved" and Ukrainian diplomats extremely rarely tried to resort to it. And there is nothing abnormal or condemnable in that "only in the critical periods of our modern-day history was it invoked as a likely instrument of national security protection." Naturally, the Memorandum has never been applied also due to the absence of provisions on a viable crisis-management mechanism.
Mr. Chaly reviles the Ukrainian political elite for NATO membership aspirations because "Russia, as a Budapest Memorandum guarantor country, has always taken a dim view of Ukraine's accession to NATO." By this logic, Ukraine should chart its foreign-policy course in line with Russia's demands that are illegitimate from the angle of international law, rather than on the basis of its national interests. The Budapest Memorandum does not have even one provision that forbids Ukraine to freely exercise its sovereign right to be member of any international organization.
Therefore, the root cause of a "permanent conflict with the Russian Federation" is not the Ukrainian foreign policy aimed at entering NATO but Russia's illegitimate and unfriendly actions that are supposed to prevent Ukraine from joining the alliance, the reluctance or, maybe, inability of the current Russian leadership to overcome their imperial complexes and build a relationship with Ukraine on the basis of international law rather than from a position of strength.
Unfortunately, Ukrainian-Russian relations are not the relations between the two sovereign states that respect each other in accordance with international law – it is a situation when Russia is carrying out a large-scale special operation that is aimed against Ukraine in contravention of elementary requirements of international law and good-neighborliness and is eventually supposed to eliminate Ukraine's political independence. Preventing Ukraine from joining NATO is one of the most important components of this special operation.
Last year Russia's State Duma held a debate on the budgetary funding of a propaganda campaign to support the status of Ukraine as a neutral state. Oddly enough, all this coincides with the publication of various materials in the Ukrainian media, which try to prove the necessity of Ukraine abandoning its NATO membership course and even suggest introducing a clause on non-aligned status into the new Constitution of Ukraine.
There are a lot of serious studies which prove that the status of a neutral and non-aligned state is unacceptable for Ukraine, for it is ephemeral, costly and one that cannot solve this country's security problems. This viewpoint is shared by the vast majority of high-profile academics, political scientists and politicians.
How Russia has achieved its goals about Georgia is common knowledge. So it is now Ukraine's turn.
Accepting the proposal to strengthen the Budapest Memorandum's legal guarantees, as Ukraine assumes the status of a neutral and non-aligned state, will be a shameful act of surrender and sellout of national interests. And no juridical word-juggling will hide or justify this.
For some well-known reasons, the course of Ukraine towards European and Euro-Atlantic integration is inconsistent today: sometimes this course is called into question by certain politicians for considerations of expediency and sometimes it is openly resisted by chauvinistic anti-Ukrainian forces.
With due account of the objective vital needs of Ukrainian society and in the very interests of Ukraine's national security, there is no alternative to our country's course towards full-fledged NATO and EU membership. This is all the more evident in the light of the latest statements and actions by the Russian leadership which regards Ukraine as a lost part of their own territory rather than an independent state.
The final and full-fledged accession of Ukraine to the European and Euro-Atlantic space will ensure not only the security and stability of the Ukrainian state but also the European standards of wellbeing, the environment, social guarantees, labor law, medical care, and the free development and personal freedom of every individual. All this does not and cannot exist, by definition, in Russia whose leadership is incurably ill with the imperial syndrome, great-power chauvinism, and authoritarianism.
So pursuing a course towards Ukraine's full-fledged NATO and EU membership is a moral and legal imperative for any president any government of Ukraine, which should be accompanied by radical reforms indispensable for meeting membership criteria as well as by a strenuous effort to impartially inform Ukrainian citizens about the nature of these alliances and the advantages of being their member.
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6. THE WEST SHOULD NOT LOSE PATIENCE WITH UKRAINE
Commentary: By Oleh Rybachuk and Taras Chornovil
Another achievement, which has been overshadowed by the global economic crises, was the long-awaited accession to the World Trade Organisation as well as noticeable progress in the European integration process. The latter gives Ukrainian businesses a chance to access the largest market in the world.
Increasingly, we hear from Europe and the US that they are "fed up with Ukraine". But while one can be frustrated with individual Ukrainian politicians whom were often indulged by Europe and the US, one should not be disappointed with the country as a whole.
NOTE: Oleh Rybachuk was the chief of staff to President Victor Yushchenko in 2005. Taras Chornovil was the chief of Victor Yanukovych's presidential campaign in 2004
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[return to index] [Action Ukraine Report (AUR) Monitoring Service]
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7. UKRAINE: A DEMOCRACY AT RISK
Those longing for strong-armed rule may outnumber those
Commentary by Myroslava Gongadze, Journalist, Civil Rights Activist
Responding to public demand and pursuing their own agenda, the front runners in the 2010 Ukrainian election are promising to restore Putin-style vertical power with centralized political control. Moreover, they lack transparency in decision making and possess a weak commitment to fighting corruption especially in their close circles. They hide their true personal wealth and publicize dubious income declarations that have become the target of many investigative reports.
The EU and other democratic nations need urgently to develop a clear constructive and principled policy with regard to Ukraine. Their calls for free and fair elections today will not have much of an effect on the Ukrainian authorities without a real commitment to hold them to their word. Whoever will become the next president of Ukraine needs to be watched closely, and they should get that message now.
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8. UKRAINE: STRANGLEHOLD
"Corruption, red tape, administrative obstacles of every kind – these are only things that serve the interests of those who today control the economy because they do not want competition. They are allergic to competition," Jose Manuel Pinto Teixeira of Portugal told journalists on Nov. 30. "The vast majority of Ukrainians cannot have employment, cannot have decent salaries, do not have a decent social system, because the country today is in many aspects like 20 years ago."
Teixeira's comments came ahead of the Ukraine-European Union summit in Kyiv on Dec. 4 and against a backdrop of the nation's long-stalled efforts to achieve European integration and shed its Soviet past. The remarks, which the ambassador elaborated on in a Dec. 2 interview with the Kyiv Post, also came ahead of the Jan. 17 presidential election, a race in which a candidate who will usher in major reforms is hard to identify.
In an interview, Teixeira wouldn't name names when asked to be specific about who he thinks is stifling Ukraine's economy and democratic progress. But he also said he doesn't think it is much of a mystery about who is creating the bottlenecks.
A list of top suspects might start with Ukraine's richest businessmen, or the so-called oligarchs, who today have commanding influence in politics and who control much of the country's economy. They made spectacular fortunes from the opaque privatizations of government-owned assets after the nation gained independence in 1991.
They have long reaped billion-dollar profits out of Ukraine, and are accused by some of stalling changes – such as progressive yet simplified taxes, effective law enforcement and less bureaucracy – that could make Ukraine's economy fairer and more competitive.
While a couple of them – Rinat Akhmetov and Victor Pinchuk – have spokespeople who pump out scads of press releases, Ukraine's richest pair would not comment to the Kyiv Post this week about Teixeira's comments or whether they thought he was talking about them. Kostyantin Zhevago refused comment. Gennadiy Bogolyubov and Igor Kolomoisky could not be reached before the newspaper went to press on Dec. 3.
But an endorsement of Teixeira's assessment came from Andrei Lobatch of the Foundation for Effective Governance, a policy center funded by Akhmetov. "I agree with him in a general way. There are a lot of things that need to be done. There is obviously a great need to have a consolidated view on reform priorities."
Oleksandr Sushko, an analyst with the Institute for European Atlantic Cooperation, said some Ukrainian industries are hindering progress towards a free-trade agreement with the European Union because their owners fear competition and loss of profits. "One must approach this carefully," Sushko said. "It's impossible to ignore domestic businesses because their short-term interests don't always coincide with the long-term interests of government."
In his Dec. 2 interview with the Kyiv Post, Teixeira said his views are common knowledge. While the nation has made progress, the ambassador said Ukraine still lacks a "consolidated political view" and is hobbled by an unclear constitution, a poor legal system, "widespread corruption and conflicts within the country's institutions of power." He also called the nation's haphazard path "unsustainable."
Teixeira also said on Nov. 30 that "very little has been done" in the last 18 years. "Politicians should tune into the reality more. Much more could have been done. There is a long way to go and the nation's [citizens are] demanding progress."
The recent economic crisis and current recession have exposed how undiversified Ukraine's economy remains, dependent upon exports of steel, raw materials and thereby extremely vulnerable to global price shocks. The Soviet-era industries of steel, chemicals and coal mining dominate the economic landscape. These heavy industries are located in the country's industrial east and south and are owned by a handful of business groups, including those controlled by Akhmetov, Pinchuk, Kolomoisky and Serhiy Taruta.
While Ukraine's business tycoons have started to invest into modernizing these highly inefficient behemoths, their efforts are seen as small compared to the large fortunes earned to date in the sectors . Together, with others, Ukraine's oligarchs wield immense influence in government and, along with their industries, are able to command big favors.
The government recently extended a freeze on gas, electricity and railway tariffs in effect since November 2008. The sweetheart deals will now last through the end of 2010 for steel and iron ore producers. According to a Millennium Capital analyst, the rate freeze "is negative for electricity manufacturers and railway companies as well as other companies who might gain from raising the tariffs. But metallurgy is the main source of hard currency inflow into the country and the interests of all others take the back seat now."
More than half of the nation's 50 wealthiest Ukrainians either made money in or are currently involved in the Soviet-era industries of steel, iron ore and coal mining, chemical production, machine building and automotives. Their estimated combined wealth in July was $16.6 billion, according to Dragon Capital, or 15 percent of the country's 2009 forecasted nominal gross domestic product. The July estimated combined market capitalization of Ukraine's metallurgical and mining companies is $13 billion, according to Dragon Capital.
Yaroslav Misyats, head of the Party of Small and Medium Size Businesses, said the government is more to blame than the business elite. "The oligarchs exist as long as the nomenclature allows and encourages it," Misyats said. "The Ukrainian government is built on theft, controls theft, and proliferates it. That is what does not allow Ukraine to move forward."
But others think that Ukraine's business elite exerts more influence over politicians than vice versa. And many of the nation's business elites also have powerful posts in government, holding seats in parliament or other positions. So if they had a genuine interest in changing the status quo, many think they could have done so by now.
"Undoubtedly, in Ukraine there are forces that perceive free trade and the reforms pursued by the Tymoshenko-government as a threat to monopolies and corrupt ways of doing business," said Hryhoriy Nemyria, vice prime minister in Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko's Cabinet. "But, we won't be deflected from establishing a free trade regime [with the EU] which provides an equal playing field."
Whoever is to blame, the consequence is clear for average Ukrainians.
"Many Ukrainians are living in poverty, are underemployed, underpaid; they have poor health care and social support systems because the country hasn't enacted any real reform. It lacks the political will to democratize Ukraine," said Yevhen Bystrytsky, head of the Renaissance Foundation.
Ukraine has consistently scored poorly in various international evaluations. This year, Transparency International said the level of corruption, already alarmingly high, has worsened to 146 out of 180 countries surveyed. Ukraine also sunk in the Global Competitiveness Report, dropping from 72 to 82 out of 133 countries ranked.
Anna Derevyanko, executive director of the European Business Association, said that investment "should be fast, easy and transparent." But it is not. "It seems like our political leaders don't have a strategic view on Ukraine's development," Derevyanko added.
Jorge Zukoski, president of the American Chamber of Commerce in Ukraine, echoed the sentiment: "The reticence of the political elite to embark on the path of true reforms that roots out corruption, strengthens the rule of law, fosters transparency and creates a level and clear playing field for all market players has not yet been a priority in the 18 years since independence. The frustration that the EU leadership feels is understandable as they and others have continually extended a hand of friendship to the leaders of Ukraine."
Since 1992, the EU has given Ukraine more than 1 billion euro in aid and is currently the largest donor of technical assistance, providing on average of nearly 200 million euro annually. The upshot is that Ukraine-EU "action plans" are misnomers – action has been lacking.
So it was hard to argue with Borys Tarasyuk, head of parliament's committee on European integration, when he said on Dec. 1 that it is "too optimistic to speak of signing the association agreement" between Ukraine and the European Union at the Dec. 4 summit.
The agreement, meant to move integration forward, also isn't foreseen anytime soon by Ukrainian Deputy Foreign Minister Kostyantin Yeliseyev. He said on Dec. 2: "There is political readiness on the European side to take the earliest opportunity to sign an association agreement with Ukraine, which would involve a free trade zone, but certain conditions are to be created for this – Ukraine must do its homework, as it were."
NOTE: Kyiv Post staff writers Yuliya Popova and John Marone contributed to this story.
[return to index] [Action Ukraine Report (AUR) Monitoring Service]
9. EU TURNS AWAY FROM UKRAINE
The EU's loss of patience with a turbulent Kiev suggests another
After late-night talks with Tymoshenko in the Crimean resort of Yalta last week, Putin said he had agreed to waive various penalties and amend Russia's natural gas supply contract with Ukraine to avoid a repeat of last January's dispute, which led to serious gas shortages in eastern and central Europe.
"It would be very good to meet the new year without any shocks," Putin said, adding that transit fees next year would rise by 60% – a change potentially worth billions of dollars to Ukraine. Tymoshenko's response was unctuous. "You, as a strong country, are meeting us halfway," she said. The deal was seen as both a none-too-subtle attempt to show that she, unlike Yushchenko, could do business with Moscow, and as blatant electoral interference by Putin.
Ukraine's shenanigans have even led football's ruling body, Uefa, to seek assurances that preparations and financing for the Euro 2012 championship, to be hosted jointly by Poland and Ukraine, will not be affected by the elections. Uefa is also worried that visa-free travel arrangements with the EU have yet to be agreed.
All this is watched with trepidation in Brussels, where José Manuel Barroso, the European commission president, recently telephoned Yushchenko to reportedly express concern over the way the IMF bailout and Europe's gas supplies have become political footballs.
Such is the animosity between the rival camps that EU officials fret that the election, which is also contested by the pro-Russian former prime minister Viktor Yanukovich, could end in stalemate and possibly violent recriminations, as happened in 2004 when Yanukovich was initially declared the winner and then unseated.
These strains and stresses lend an air of crisis to the EU-Ukraine summit on 4 December, which is shaping up as the first big test for the untried diplomatic skills of the EU's new foreign policy chief, Lady Ashton. Officials say the EU aims to give Ukraine a "stern warning" that substantive political and financial reform is a prerequisite for progress on issues such as visas and future association and trade agreements.
But full EU membership, on which Yushchenko set his heart, is now a receding prospect. Impatience with Ukraine across the EU is growing, with France and Germany, for example, delaying its accession to the EU's energy community treaty.
Given the much reduced appetite for further EU enlargement, it seems certain that the high watermark of EU-Ukraine ties has already passed. It's no consolation for Yushchenko that much the same applies to Georgia, Belarus and Turkey. And for many in Europe who hoped for better, braver things along the EU's post-Soviet eastern frontier, it's galling to conclude that, in a sense, Putin has won.
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10. UKRAINE AND THE EU: A VICIOUS CIRCLE?
CER Bulletin, Issue 69, Center for European Reform, Dec 2009/Jan 2010
There is no rule for how a government desiring to join the EU should make its case. But countries that managed to accede in recent years had done so by observing a few simple guidelines: cultivate friends among EU governments, be prepared to make painful sacrifices and, above all, show patience and good faith.
Ukraine, the largest of the East European countries hoping to join, has broken every one of those principles over the past two years. As a result, it has fallen from the EU's grace. EU countries like the Netherlands and Germany have always opposed offering Ukraine a 'membership perspective'. But only two or three years ago, "the majority of EU governments were in favour of [Ukraine] joining," said one European Commission official dealing with the country.
Ukraine's most recent own goal consisted of Kyiv apparently lying to Brussels about the situation in its gas sector. Kyiv (and Moscow) warned in May and June 2009 that gas levels in Ukrainian storage tanks were too low to guarantee uninterrupted supplies during the winter.
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Analysis & Commentary: By Bishop Paul Peter Jesep
Ukrainian Autocephalous Orthodox Church Kyiv-Patriarchate
U.S. Spokesperson for His Beatitude Metropolitan Myfodii of Kyiv and All Ukraine
Ukraine's Orange Revolution lives! The country's cultural and spiritual reawakening shows that requiems and obituaries are premature.
President Viktor Yushchenko has been criticized for his political and economic stewardship. Some of it justified. Although not yet recognized, his legacy is positive and significant. He is the first Ukrainian president who embraced and encouraged the country's distinct Eastern Slav consciousness.
Ultimately, a country's soul is defined by its artists, writers, composers, and the language its people speak. Although unable to show a deft touch in educating those who identified with Russian culture in eastern Ukraine or the Crimea, Yushchenko nurtured a national reawakening. He did so, in part, at the expense of bread and butter issues during a worldwide recession.
Yushchenko showed no sympathy in dealing with Russia's national identity crisis. What does it mean to be Russian without Kyiv, the Mother of All Russian cities? His indifference fueled Moscow's ongoing efforts to marginalize Ukrainian culture, language, and history in the international media.
According to Russian President Vladimir Putin, Ukraine is nothing more than a break away province. He incorrectly insists that it never existed as a nation prior to the breakup of the Soviet Union. Ukraine has a thousand year history. Its final incorporation into Russia occurred when Empress Catherine finally defeated the libertarian, free-spirited Ukrainian kozak state with its rudimentary democratic structure.
Spiritually, there can be no Russia without Kyiv. Culturally, politically, and intellectually Moscow cannot let go of Ukraine because to do so leaves its own national identity in question. The Eastern Slavic soul beats in Kyiv, not Moscow, Novgorod, St. Petersburg, or any where else in Russia or Belorussia.
It's ironic that Viktor Yanukovych, the Moscow supported presidential candidate from eastern Ukraine, recently told the Associated Press that "the development of . . . democratic principle in our country" was a "price . . . too great."
Yet Yanukovych benefits from the very freedom he criticizes in his campaign. During the Associated Press interview Yanukovych also mocked the Ukrainian language as "gibberish" and the messiness of democracy as a "variety show." He vows commitment to a Leninist "rule of law" and the restoration of the Russian language to its superior place.
Regardless of who is the country's president, the sky is blue if Ukrainians in the country and those in the Diaspora work to cultivate the Ukrainian language. If young artists, writers, dancers, musicians, composers, and Christian and non-Christian spiritual leaders in Ukraine nurture the Ukrainian-Eastern Slav soul then the wheat fields are golden.
President Yushchenko opened the door. Complacency will shut it. The Orange Revolution is not about personalities. It is about ideas, values, and principles. It's about the culture of a people. Ukrainians are the only Eastern Slav people with the courage to wrestle with the challenges of democracy. Democracy is not about convenience. It is about liberty.
The Orange Revolution can and will live on so long as patriots and those in the Diaspora recognize the critical importance of promoting Ukrainian art, culture, language, and literature. It will not matter who is president so long as ordinary Ukrainians in Ukraine and the Diaspora work to nurture, preserve, and further the country's distinct heritage.
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As both the year and the decade come to an end, nations and individuals naturally take stock of their progress, setbacks and their hopes for the future. For Ukraine, the high point of the decade clearly came during the 2004 Orange Revolution, when Ukrainians collectively found their voice and discovered their power to change the course of the nation's history and to hold their leaders accountable.
This astounding achievement of unity and indomitable will was sullied by the betrayals and broken promises of political leaders. Regrettably, average Ukrainians have also not been able to band together again and influence their leaders as profoundly as during that glorious moment.
It takes a long view of history to see the good that has come during this decade. But, amid all the current and serious troubles, this nation arguably had its best decade in centuries. The nation is no longer divided territorially. Its people are no longer starving, no longer have to fend off attacks from foreign invaders and no longer serving Soviet or czarist masters.
But this is not enough for a nation that can be so much more successful. Today, Ukraine is drifting along and in danger of getting swept away by dangerous currents. The nation remains unsure of itself and political freedoms are imperiled. More importantly, for most people, economic fairness and vitality remain elusive. This is also a nation of massive injustices and no person or institution to rectify them.
The decade started off with former President Leonid Kuchma beating a Communist Party candidate to win re-election and continue ruling as a despot, running the government and economy at his whim and at the whims of the favored oligarchs. The media, reflecting larger society, were fearful and servile.
But people who are given absolute power usually trip themselves up, sooner or later. The change for the better was born from terrible tragedy: The murder of outspoken journalist Georgiy Gongadze on Sept. 16, 2000. Allegations that high-level Kuchma officials ordered the murder were lent credibility by events that transpired: the conviction of three Interior Ministry police officers, the two-shots-to-the-head "suicide" of Interior Minister Yuriy Kravchenko, the revelation – in November 2000 – of hundreds of hours of recordings of Kuchma.
The "Ukraine without Kuchma" movement showed that civil society is alive and provided a segue into the 2002 parliamentary election and emergence of Yushchenko's Our Ukraine, the Bloc of Yulia Tymoshenko and Oleksandr Moroz's Socialist Party. All were forces of good at that time and paved the way for the Orange Revolution, which blocked attempts to steal the Nov. 21, 2004, presidential election by Moscow's favored successor, Victor Yanukovych.
The power brokers were forced to back off and bow to the people's wishes, but not entirely. They outmaneuvered a compliant Yushchenko and muddled the Constitution so badly that the nation still suffers from the ill-fated compromise that ended the peaceful street protests.
The country failed to translate its political successes into any meaningful progress in deregulation or diversification of the economy. The business environment remains hostile to investment. The public sector remains simultaneously bureaucratic and starved of necessary investments to improve infrastructure, energy efficiency and education.
A contender for quote of the year, if not decade, came from Jose Manuel Pinto Teixeira, the top European Union official in Ukraine, who offered a cogent analysis of Ukraine's problems on Nov. 30: "Corruption, red tape, administrative obstacles of every kind. These are only things that serve the interests of those who today control the economy because they do not want competition. They are allergic to competition."
And so that's where Ukraine is at the end of the 21st century's first decade, dogged by many of the same persistent problems. Anyone who attempts to introduce fairness, equity and justice into this nation will more than likely face powerful resistance from the entrenched interests that populate the list of the nation's 50 richest citizens.
As tired and disillusioned as they are, Ukrainians have the strength, desire and resources to shape their own destiny in the new decade, one in which we hope that real changes for the better will finally take place for all 46 million citizens of this great nation.
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13. UKRAINE FRONT-RUNNER QUESTIONS DEMOCRATIC REFORMS
Presidential frontrunner says Ukraine paid too high a price on democratic reform
By Simon Shuster and Dima Vlasov, Associated Press Writers
Associated Press (AP), Kiev, Ukraine, Tue, December 29, 2009
KIEV - Ukraine has paid too high a price for the democratic reforms ushered in by the 2004 Orange Revolution, according to the pro-Russian front-runner in the country's presidential race, who pledges to bring back the "rule of law" if elected next month.
Viktor Yanukovych, whose Kremlin-backed election victory in 2004 was overturned by the Supreme Court amid allegations of fraud, says the pro-Western revolution that brought his rivals to power has led to political chaos, corruption and a dismal economy.
"So what did this Orange Revolution give us?," Yanukovych asked in an interview Monday with The Associated Press. "Freedom of speech? That's very good. But what price did the Ukrainian people pay for this? For the development of this democratic principle in our country, the price was too great."
Democracy is "above all the rule of law," which the Orange Revolution has failed to bring, he said.
Since taking power in 2005 on a wave of hope and excitement, the revolution's leaders have disappointed many Ukrainians, fostering nostalgia among some for the stable, if autocratic, rule of an earlier era.
The Orange Revolution took Ukraine out of Russia's orbit, as the pro-Western leadership sought membership in the European Union and NATO. It also deepened animosity between the pro-Russian east and the west of the country, where Ukrainian nationalism is strong.
Yanukovych said his first priority as president would be to revive the use of the Russian language in schools and in the workplace, a move that would reverse the "forced Ukrainization" of the millions of Russian-speaking Ukrainians who support him. "This is the main question that we have to solve right now, the one that is very seriously worrying the people," he said.
This change would comply with the one wish Russian President Dmitry Medvedev made last week for the Ukrainian elections. "The only thing I really want is for the future president ... to be intent on warm, heartfelt, even brotherly relations between our countries, and for the Russian language not to be insulted," Medvedev said in a televised interview.
With elections less than three weeks away, Yanukovych, 59, is leading in the polls. The former electrician told the AP that he would put his weight behind Moscow on issues ranging from trade to security.
He repeated his pledge not to seek membership in NATO, Russia's Cold War foe. But he said he would give his full support to Medvedev's proposal for a joint European security regime, which has gotten an icy reception in most of Europe. He also promised, if elected, to do everything in his power to speed Russia's entry into the World Trade Organization.
Viktor Yushchenko, the current president and the leader of the Orange Revolution, is going into the vote with approval ratings in the single digits. He has been at loggerheads with his former ally, Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, for most of his time in office, causing political gridlock that has deepened the country's economic collapse and alienated voters.
Yanukovych, a barrel-chested hunting enthusiast, also denied that his 2004 presidential victory had been fixed. Instead the Supreme Court broke the law when it overturned his election and ordered another round of voting, he said.
"The third round of those elections was illegal," he said. "Why? Because five years have passed, and in those five years, the falsification of my election has basically not been proven. This means that those elections were legal. They were not rigged."
His campaign has focused on shaming Tymoshenko, his only real competition, for her leadership of the Orange Revolution, which he blames for turning Ukraine's government into one of the most corrupt in the world and its economy into one of the worst-performing.
"Democracy is above all rule of law, it is compliance with the law and constitution by everyone, and in these five years we have seen how the laws have been systematically broken, how the principles of the law have been replaced by political expediency," Yanukovych said.
In most of the country, the issues of language and national identity have been more divisive than bread-and-butter issues like unemployment. The word
"Ukraine" derives from the Russian for "at the outskirts," an identity the leaders of the Orange Revolution have sought to uproot by promoting a unique Ukrainian identity. The use of Russian, seen by its opponents as a symbol of Soviet subjugation, has been phased out.
On a recent campaign trip to the Russian-speaking Crimean peninsula, where he enjoys broad support, Yanukovich poked fun at the Ukrainian language and the politicians who insist on speaking it.
As he mocked Tymoshenko's upbeat appraisals of the economy, he sarcastically switched into Ukrainian from Russian, drawing laughs from the crowd of about 2,000 supporters.
Switching back into Russian, he said, "I'm tired of hearing five years of this gibberish, and seeing this variety show performed by the Orange troupe."
Valentina Goncharova, a 59-year-old retiree who said she receives a pension of around $100 per month, said she supports Yanukovich not because of his promises of higher pensions and wages, but because of his pro-Russian views.
"The Crimea has always belonged to Russia," she said. "It has always been closer to Russia. I think that is why people support him here."
LINK: http://abcnews.go.com/International/wirestory?id=9440705&page=1
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14. SAME FACES, NO ISSUES, AS UKRAINIANS PREPARE TO VOTE
Analysis & Commentary: By John Marone,
Eurasian Home, Moscow, Russia, Friday, December 18, 2009
Ukraine is about to elect a new president, but the main contenders are anything but new. In first place in the polls is former Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovych, the villain of the 2004 race, which was decided only after the country's Orange Revolution.
Since 2004, Mr. Yanukovych has done much to shed his image as an ex-con, Russian stooge and henchmen of eastern oligarchs. He showed himself to be a confident manager after returning to head the government in 2006. But, he lost that position due to a coalition of Orange politicians, as surely as he lost the presidency to Orange revolutionaries in 2004.
After all, with the prompting of numerous American PR gurus, the man has had to change so much – his speech, his hairdo and ultimately his views. More importantly, so has the presidency changed, its authorities watered down from the dictatorial days of Leonid Kuchma just as the victorious Orange team was about to take power.
The oligarchs of Donetsk can no longer justly be characterized as anti-Western revanchists bent on bringing Ukraine back into the Russian fold. They borrow money from Western lenders, sell their products abroad and compete with Russian tycoons for market share in Ukraine.
Against such a background, the "old" Yanukovych is a dinosaur. But Ukrainian politics has always been more of a merry-go-round than a tug-a-war: once you climb on board, you can keep riding until you fall off, or the music stops.
Yanukovych continues to ride, out of inertia more than anything else. Why run for president? Because politics is now the only trade that he knows, because eastern Ukraine doesn't have any other candidate to put forward.
So what does Mr. Yanukovych stand for now in terms of policy? Well if his latest public statements can be taken seriously, Yanukovych wants to strengthen Ukraine's position in its relations with the IMF.
"I think that both sides – the IMF and the Ukrainian government – are at fault for the disruption and discrediting of the loan program for Ukraine. The Cabinet of Ministers took on obligations that it couldn't perform. Massive IMF funds were used without transparency, and the authorities haven't been able to explain where the money was spent."
Mr. Yanukovych is right about IMF money being misspent – the case of Bank Nadra being the best example of such misspending – however, it wasn't the government that controlled the National Bank as the global financial crisis struck last year.
What Yanukovych is really saying – in addition to taking a campaign swipe at his primary election opponent Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, is that he doesn't want Ukraine to be pushed around by international lending organizations.
Here in lies the vague basis of some kind of policy: namely, tighter fiscal control but also more rule setting by Ukraine's industrialists.
As for Ms. Tymoshenko, she's been on Ukraine's political stage even longer than Yanukovych. Also a former premier, she rose to fame in the long struggle to dethrone Kuchma. That struggle culminated during the Orange Revolution, after which Yushchenko was crowned Ukraine's new king.
As queen, Ms. Yulia soon filed for divorce and the three-way struggle for executive power that has characterized Ukrainian politics ever since began.
Unlike Mr. Yanukovych, whose main support base is in the east, and President Yushchenko, whose remnants of a support base are in the west, Tymoshenko feels confident all over the country. She's currently rated No.2 by polls, which always underestimate her, but her personal determination and campaign skills far outweigh those of her opponents.
She is, indeed, such a force to be reckoned with that some (including Tymoshenko) are suggesting that Yanukovych has promised Yushchenko to be premier in exchange for campaign support.
"If 18 candidates are running for president, it's clear that none of them has a chance of winning. Instead, they are all running against one candidate. It's all a campaign strategy that envisions they all work together to get Yanukovych elected in return for appointments after the elections," she said.
As always, Tymoshenko is positioning herself as the underdog, the defender of the people under attack by the forces of evil. What this translates to in terms of policy is known more commonly as populism. Tymoshenko has Orange (i.e. pro-Western) credentials but is not shy about courting favor with the Kremlin; and her economics are predicated more on political rivalries, but appear to be more transparent than those of her opponents.
In short, Ms. Tymoshenko is a policy in progress, in flux and always in response.
Maybe this is why President Yushchenko has said that a Tymoshenko victory would lead the country to "catastrophe."
"Tymoshenko is the essence of the crisis, a crisis in everything that she touches," he said. The president has further blamed his former co-revolutionary for betraying the Orange team and predicted that her political career would soon come to an end.
Although the president's statements definitely betray a rather skewed interpretation of recent Ukrainian history, suffice it to say that he clearly seems more critical of Tymoshenko than his former arch enemy Yanukovych.
It was the fight against Yanukovych, the oligarchs and the bandits that rallied hundreds of thousands in Kyiv to protest the initial, fraudulent results of the 2004 ballot and hand Yushchenko the presidency. Now, Mr. Yushchenko is attempting to vilify his former ally, Ms. Tymoshenko, before the people.
The faces in Ukraine's never-ending political drama have remained the same – not much of a choice for voters. But the issues have become completely blurred, if they exist at all.
LINK: http://www.eurasianhome.org/xml/t/opinion.xml?lang=en&nic=opinion&pid=1500
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Analysis & Commentary: Dmitry Vydrin, Professor of Political Science, Kyiv
The presidential election campaign in Ukraine has two main intrigues, if anything extraordinary does not happen in the New Year and Christmas holidays. The first one is a very wide gap between approval ratings of the leaders of the presidential race, Viktor Yanukovych and Yuliya Tymoshenko.
Given the current situation, it is unclear how Yuliya Tymoshenko is going to bridge the gap between herself and Viktor Yanukovych. She has only three weeks (as a matter of fact, only one week because of the holidays) to do that. So, I believe that in the main she will dig up the dirt on her rival even if the dirt is not true at all.
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16. DANUBE AND DNIEPER RIVERS FLOW DIFFERENTLY AFTER SOVIETS
Throughout the crumbling communist empire, sewage and chemicals clogged rivers; industrial smog choked cities; radiation seeped through the soil; open pit mines scarred green valleys. It was hard to measure how bad it was and still is: The focus was more on production quotas than environmental data.
Upstream from Kiev, the Ukrainian capital, the Dnieper picks up water from the Pripyat River, with sediment still laced with radioactive caesium-137 from the 1986 Chernobyl nuclear disaster.
To the southwest, in countries that have joined the European Union, another river, the Danube, is bouncing back. Pleasure boats sail past public bathing areas, and people of dozens of nationalities stroll down esplanades alongside a glittering waterway that inspired the music of Johann Strauss. Protected woods and wetlands are being extended along its meandering course.
In 1989, the stretch of Danube that flowed through the communist countries was like the Dnieper - an ecological disaster of epic proportions. Oil slicks glistened in rainbow colors on the water's surface. Long stretches were empty of fish, and stinking algae proliferated along the banks. Worse than the visible pollution was the insidious invasion of microcontaminants that poisoned the ecosystem.
Originating in Russia and ending in the Black Sea, the Dnieper flows south through Belarus, cutting southeast across Ukraine, countries that have remained, in varying degrees, almost umbilically tethered over the past 20 years to the might of the Kremlin.
Five years after the Berlin Wall fell on Nov. 9, 1989, most of the countries sharing the Danube signed a convention to manage the river, its tributaries, the basin and the ground sources. It was one of the iconic projects in a broader mission among Western powers to make billions of dollars available for a massive cleanup of Eastern Europe.
In five years of peak action from 2000, the Danube countries spent $3.5 billion building wastewater treatment plants in hundreds of towns and villages along the river and its 26 major tributaries. They spent $500 million more restoring wetlands and cleaning industrial spillage and agricultural runoff befouling the water.
Along with direct Western aid, many poor ex-Soviet-bloc countries had a huge incentive to throw themselves into the region's cleanup: EU membership.
It was a monumental task.
One area known as the Black Triangle at the junction of Germany, Poland and the Czech Republic was notorious. A concentration of coal mines and heavy industry suffocated the region under industrial ash and gas.
For the Danube, the cleanup was more than just an environmental project. The Danube Convention changed mindsets, breaking down barriers between former enemies, forcing countries and riverside populations to work together across previously hostile borders.
"It is not a wild river, in the sense of salmon jumping or white-water," Mr. Weller said. "It is the lifeblood, the circulation system" that connects the richest part of Europe in Western Germany to the poorest in Ukraine and Moldova.
On the outskirts of town eight fields are fenced off with barbed wire, hung with yellow triangles warning of radioactivity. Nuclear waste was dumped here many years ago. Uniformed officers patrol the area and stopped two Associated Press journalists to ask why they were there.
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17. UKRAINE: 'THE DAY I KILLED THE SOVIET UNION'
Transmission by Natalia Churikova
Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Prague, Czech Republic, Tue, Dec 1, 2009
I am not a violent person. But on December 1, 1991, I voted in a referendum on the independence of Ukraine, along with more than 90 percent of Ukrainians.
This was the end of the USSR. I am saying this not because my life immediately became better. In fact, for many of my fellow Ukrainians life became worse, or at least more difficult.
Nor am I trying to challenge Russian leader Vladimir Putin, who said that the demise of the Soviet Union was the biggest geopolitical disaster of the 20th century. God forbid! He may have his own reasons to feel this way. I just want to share my happiness and explain it.
I never liked the Soviet regime. From early childhood one had to learn to be a liar, a hypocrite, to stop being oneself in order to make a career or even to survive. But it was not the kind of regime one bravely stood up to, as you would to a foreign occupation.
I have this constant argument with my Russian husband, who likes to tell me about his relatives who were dying of hunger in besieged Leningrad during World War II.
I say: true, their suffering was immense. They were holding out against the Nazis, they were treated as heroes -- and rightly so.
But not all people who were dying of hunger in the Soviet Union were treated as heroes.
My grandparents and their extended families, who were dying alongside millions of other Ukrainian peasants in the 1930s during the Holodomor, did not receive such an honor. In times of peace they were sentenced to death by, presumably, their own government for being just that: Ukrainian peasants.
How can I be proud that the Soviet Union liberated Ukraine and half of Europe from the Nazis, if Stalin's regime killed more people in my family than Hitler's?
As most young people, I had a thirst for belief. But the communists destroyed religion. They replaced it with a caricature, Marxism-Leninism, in which even its secular priests, party leaders, failed to believe.
Operating in a country for several generations and using brutal repression as a means of persuasion, they managed to destroy one's moral compass. Soviet people -- and they did manage to turn some of my countrymen into Soviet people -- had a difficulty in telling right from wrong, because what was right for the regime, was often morally wrong.
This contradiction would eat a person from the inside. A monument to the victims of communism in Prague is a vivid representation of this internal destruction. First, a person whole, then there is crack in him, then the corrosion eats him piece by piece. At the end there is almost nothing left.
A plaque to the monument says that it is dedicated not only to those who were killed or jailed by the regime, but also to those whose lives were ruined by communist despotism.
To see what this despotism could do to a society, one needs to look at Ukraine's politics. For many politicians, what is right is what helps one to survive and reap the immediate benefit. Forget about moral principles, national interest, and personal integrity.
The consequences of this systematic moral distraction are all too visible in Ukraine, and I am afraid, they will be for many years to come. But the system that caused it and supported it with some of the most inhumane methods in history, died on December 1, 1991.
It is up to an individual now to recollect that he or she is God's creature with free will, who can act in a moral way because it is right. Isn't that a good foundation for happiness?
LINK: http://www.rferl.org/content/The_Day_I_Killed_The_Soviet_Union/1892467.html
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18. SHABBY SURROUNDINGS AND TREATMENT OF ANIMALS AT A ZOO IN UKRAINE
Kiev Journal, by Clifford J. Levy, The New York Times, NY, NY, 23 December 2009
KIEV, Ukraine -- Tatyana Shvets strode through the Kiev Zoo recently as if it were her own backyard, feeding scraps of bread to the bison (''Hello, my dears!''), cooing to the storks (''Oh, you must be cold!'') and lavishing love upon every creature in sight, as she has since she first visited as a child half a century ago. But often enough, her glee turned to dismay.
The camels' corral was a mess, she insisted. The elephant was scrawny. The hippopotamus seemed depressed. And the monkeys' cramped accommodations? ''God, what a nightmare,'' she said. Ms. Shvets chased after and berated zoo workers, making mental notes about complaints that she would send to the zoo's management. There was a lot to write up.
The Kiev Zoo, it seems, has seen better days. Ukraine's government is in disarray and the political discord has been unrelenting -- and, yes, now even the lions and tigers and bears have been drawn in.
The zoo was expelled from the European Association of Zoos and Aquaria in 2007 over poor conditions and mistreatment of animals. Advocates and former workers maintained that a giraffe and other animals died from the zoo's ineptitude, and that money was siphoned from the zoo's budget through corrupt schemes.
The zoo's director was dismissed last year by Kiev's eccentric mayor, Leonid M. Chernovetsky, after failing to find a mate for an elephant -- or so Mr. Chernovetsky said. The new director has stirred an uproar among the staff for her supposedly tyrannical ways, and in October, a brawl erupted among workers during a celebration of the zoo's centennial.
Lately, animal rights advocates, including Ms. Shvets, have contended that the zoo's distress has been orchestrated by top city officials who want to sell the zoo's choice urban real estate to developers and move the animals to the suburbs. The advocates call the strategy, ''No animal, no problem,'' a play on Stalin's infamous saying, ''No person, no problem.''
''This is being done so there are less and less animals, and they can make money from the land,'' said Ms. Shvets, 60, a retired government worker. ''The authorities in Kiev these days, all they care about is money.''
The troubles are not always immediately obvious. During a walk around the zoo on a Saturday morning, the place seemed more shabby than squalid, as if it once aspired to great-zoo status but had fallen on hard times for lack of money and attention.
Still, advocates said the worst conditions were obscured behind closed doors, and they have circulated photographs that they said revealed how the animals were treated out of sight.
Many of the primates and bears are held in claustrophobic quarters because the public enclosures are run-down, they said. Construction was begun on a primate pavilion at great cost, then abandoned last year. Workers tell visitors that most monkeys are ''under quarantine.''
''I really cried when I went inside and saw the conditions for the monkeys,'' said Tamara Tarnawska, leader of SOS-Animals Kiev. ''It was absolutely horrible. I felt ashamed to be human.'' She said the animals were crammed together in cages that were poorly lighted and dirty.
The zoo's management disputed many of the criticisms, saying that they were voiced by disgruntled former workers or outsiders with no expertise. The zoo's director, Svetlana Berzina, did acknowledge that the zoo was in bad shape when she took over last year. She said the previous management was incompetent and had begun projects that were expensive, unnecessary and never finished, like the primate pavilion.
Ms. Berzina said she was replacing workers, spearheading renovations, bringing in consultants and establishing a code of ethics. ''We are consistently dealing with all these issues,'' she said. ''But I think that you can understand that problems that accumulated over decades cannot be resolved in a single year.''
''A significant number of workers at the zoo clearly were not doing their jobs, and many were simply drinking heavily on the job,'' she added. Ms. Berzina denied that there were plans to sell the zoo's land, and she called publicity over the fight at the zoo's celebration in October overblown, saying that it was provoked by former workers.
City officials said they hoped to improve the zoo enough to have it reinstated to the European Association of Zoos and Aquaria, but the association said the zoo would have to wait at least until 2012.
While conflicts over the zoo have been widely publicized, some visitors said they did not see what all the fuss was about.
''Compared to other zoos I've been to, the animals live pretty well here,'' said Aleksei Nazarenko, 22. ''There are all these zoos that travel from city to city in Ukraine, and the animals live pretty poorly there. Here, they seem O.K.''
But Yelena Ryabova, 55, said she was worried that the zoo would be relocated. ''They want to put it 40 kilometers away,'' she said, referring to the persistent rumors. (Forty kilometers is about 25 miles.) ''That is a long way to go.''
When Ms. Shvets overheard people saying that the animals seemed fine, she shook her head. She said that in her many years of coming to the zoo, things had never been so unsettling. During Soviet times, the zoo's facilities might have been relatively spare, but the care was far better, she said.
Now, she noted, signs were out of date, animals were mysteriously missing and the zoo was pocked with deserted renovation sites.
And then she stalked off to do some more snooping.
''Where is the hippopotamus?'' she demanded of a worker, standing at the edge of an empty outdoor enclosure. ''When the mayor gives us money for repairs, you can see the hippopotamus,'' the worker grumbled. Ms. Shvets located the forlorn animal in a small pen elsewhere. ''Good morning, my darling!'' she said.
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19. FOUR UKRAINE CITIES GET EURO 2012 SOCCER CHAMPIONSHIP GREEN LIGHT
Reuters, Funchal Portugal, Fri, December 11, 2009
FUNCHAL, Portugal - Ukrainian cities Kiev, Lviv, Donetsk and Kharkiv will host matches in the 2012 European soccer championship, UEFA said on Friday, with the capital confirmed as the venue for the final.
European football's governing body had delayed the decision over hosting matches in all the proposed Ukrainian cities except Kiev after the slow progress of infrastructure projects.
"I'm pleased to tell that thanks to the tremendous efforts of the Ukrainian government we can finally give the green light to a symmetrical tournament with four cities in Poland, and Kiev, Lviv, Kharkiv and Donetsk in Ukraine," UEFA president Michel Platini told a news conference.
"There remain considerable work to be done and considerable hoops to jump through. I entirely trust Ukraine and Poland as hosts," he added.The tournament is being co-hosted with Poland, where four cities -- Poznan, Wroclaw, Warsaw and Gdansk -- had already been confirmed by UEFA as able to
host matches.
"Today Ukraine won, the people of Ukraine won," Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko told local television.
UEFA has been frustrated by the slow progress of work in Ukraine and in May gave the four cities six months to show significant improvement, with Platini decrying 'huge' problems with airport infrastructure, transport networks and suitable accommodation for a huge influx of fans.
NEW OPPORTUNITY
"Mr. Platini, the great player and president, has given us a new opportunity, an opportunity to show what we are made of," Ukrainian FA president Grigoriy Surkis told the news conference.
"We are going to make sure that Euro 2012 will be at least as successful as the previous two tournaments. Now isn't a time to rest on our laurels. "We've suffered a great deal in the runup to this decision, a lot of difficulties have been experienced but...the red light has been averted because those warnings were heeded," he added.
"We're going to modernise our infrastructure, build what remains to be built, prepare for a wonderful spectacle. We're going to leave no stone unturned to maintain the prestige of UEFA.
"It would have been so terrible to let this tremendous opportunity slip through our fingers. This enables us to ensure a promising future for our country. It's not a Christmas present for me, it's a Christmas present for all Ukrainians."
Surkis said he had missed his father's 90th birthday to attend the meeting on the island of Madeira. "Elderly people understand the importance of these
transformations. He was present when World War Two was won. My father has had a very difficult life; this is a heart-warming decision for him."
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20. START 2010 OFF RIGHT: DONATE TO "FOR SURVIVAL"
Help an elderly Ukrainian in Kyiv have clothing, food, medicine this year.
Katie Fox, President, American Friends of "For Survival", Wash, D.C., Mon, Jan 4, 2010
WASHINGTON, D.C. - 2010 has arrived and I am writing to ask you to sponsor an elderly Ukrainian in Kyiv this year through a donation to "For Survival." As many of you know, I have assisted in running a small charity for several years that helps poor elderly Ukrainians in Kyiv buy food, medicine and other necessities.
The "For Survival" charity is entirely volunteer run and has no overhead costs - every cent you donate goes directly to an elderly recipient. We are a small organization with a lot of hands-on oversight, another guarantee that your donation will be well spent.
A donation of $240 or $20 per month will help one Ukrainian pensioner in Kyiv cover basic needs, - warm clothing, food, medicine, and hospital bills, throughout 2010. Your donation is full tax deductible and is especially important this year.
Our group, "For Survival," was founded by a group of Ukrainian elderly women with two goals in mind: to improve the lives of poor elderly and to help
active elderly to give back to society. This year, in addition to distributing aid for generous supporters like you, the group sought and got a grant from the Lions' Club in Kyiv.
It has provided basic medical equipment, such as walkers, hearing aids and eyeglasses to Ukrainian elderly unable to afford them. As part of "giving
to use during visit to children in these institutions.
For more information please feel free to contact me at info@forsurvival.org or by cell phone 240-423-8845. Or, visit our web site at www.ForSurvival.org.
Please consider a donation today! Your money will be well spent and deeply, deeply appreciated. To give safely on-line visit us at www.ForSurvival.org.
Or, checks may be made out to "For Survival" and sent to me [Katie Fox] at 5333 42nd St. N.W., Washington, D.C. 20015. American Friends of "For Survival" is a registered 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization. All contributions are tax-deductible.
Thank you very, very much.
Katie Fox, President
American Friends of "For Survival."
Washington, D.C.
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